Best Packs to Crack
EV and risk metrics across every sealed pack. Ratio above 1.0x means you're expected to profit.
About Pack EV
Pack EV rankings show the expected dollar value of cracking a single booster pack across every MTG product currently in print. Each pack's EV is calculated from the full box EV divided by the number of packs, then compared against the loose pack market price to produce a pack EV ratio. A ratio above 1.0x means you're expected to pull more value than the pack costs at retail.
EV is computed from TCGPlayer market prices and MTGJSON booster sheet pull-rate data, recomputed daily at 9 AM UTC. The ranking covers play boosters, draft boosters, set boosters, collector boosters, and Commander precons. Filter by pack type to compare within a category, or sort by edge, break-even probability, or risk-adjusted EV to find packs that beat their price tag with high confidence rather than just on a lottery hit.
Pack EV is the right metric when buying single packs at your LGS or in small quantities. For sealed booster boxes purchased online, switch to the box EV rankings. To see how a specific box has changed in value over time, use the historical box backtest, or run the box opening simulator to model probability-weighted outcomes before you buy. Browse all sealed product on the boxes page, and follow individual chase cards on price movers.
Pack EV calculations use real TCGPlayer transaction data, not listing averages. Sellable EV mode applies rarity-aware bulk pricing so the ratio reflects what you can actually liquidate, not the theoretical Scryfall total. Past pack EV does not guarantee future results: prices shift continuously as cards rotate, get reprinted, or move in or out of competitive metagames.
| # | Pack | Type | Pack Price | Pack EV | Pack EV Ratio | Spread | Top Cards | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Frequently Asked Questions
What is pack EV in MTG?
Pack EV is the expected dollar value of cards you would pull from a single booster pack on average. It is calculated by dividing the full box EV by the number of packs in the box, then compared against the loose pack price to produce an EV ratio.
What does a pack EV ratio above 1.0 mean?
A pack EV ratio above 1.0 means the average value of cards pulled from one pack exceeds the pack's purchase price. In other words, you are statistically expected to profit by cracking that pack. The higher the ratio, the better the expected return.
What is the difference between sellable EV and full EV?
Full EV values every card at its market price, including bulk commons worth fractions of a cent. Sellable EV applies realistic buyback rates to low-value cards, giving a more accurate picture of what you could actually sell your pulls for.
Which MTG booster packs have the best EV right now?
Pack EV shifts daily as card prices move. The rankings on this page sort every play, draft, set, and collector booster by pack EV ratio, so the top of the table is always the current best pack to crack. Filter by box type to compare within a category.
Are MTG booster packs profitable to crack?
Most packs have a pack EV ratio below 1.0x, meaning you lose money on average. A small number of packs (usually older sets, recently spiked sets, or premium collector boosters) cross above 1.0x and become statistically profitable. Use the rankings to find them before cracking.
How does pack EV differ from box EV?
Box EV is the expected value of cracking an entire sealed booster box at once. Pack EV divides box EV by the number of packs in the box, giving the per-pack expectation. Pack EV is more useful when you can buy single packs at your local game store; box EV matters when buying sealed product online.
How often are pack EV rankings updated?
Pack EV rankings recompute daily at 9 AM UTC using the latest TCGPlayer market prices and MTGJSON pull-rate data. Card prices move continuously, so a pack profitable today can drop below 1.0x within a week of a reprint or metagame shift.
What does n0 mean in the pack EV table?
n0 is the number of packs you'd need to crack before you're almost-assured (about 97.5% confidence) to have broken even or better, given the box's edge and variance. The math is (2 × SD / edge)² — derived from the normal-distribution sum-of-N formula. Boxes with thin edge or high variance (lottery-style collector boosters) have huge n0; boxes with consistent edge have small n0. If a box has no positive edge at all, n0 is blank — there's no number of packs at which the law of large numbers works in your favor.