Best MTG Packs to Crack - EV Rankings

Updated daily. Every sealed MTG product ranked by expected value ratio.

Which MTG packs are worth cracking?

The best MTG packs to crack are the ones where the cards inside are worth more than the box costs. This page ranks every sealed MTG product by EV ratio daily, so a ratio above 1.0x means you're getting more card value than you're paying for.

EV is calculated from TCGPlayer market prices across 500+ sets, updated daily at 9 AM UTC. Each box factors in probability-weighted pull rates from MTGJSON booster sheet data, sellable bulk pricing, and current market conditions.

Filter by box type to compare play, draft, set, or collector boosters head-to-head. For per-pack analysis and risk metrics, check the pack EV rankings. Browse all sealed products on the boxes page. Run a historical backtest to see how box EV has changed over time, or use the box opening simulator to model expected outcomes before you buy.

All EV calculations use TCGPlayer market prices reflecting real transaction data. Rankings are recomputed daily as card prices shift. Past EV performance does not guarantee future results; prices change as cards rotate, get reprinted, or see metagame shifts.

+ shipping

Profitable 176/1488

Avg EV Ratio 0.30x

Best EV Spread +$175.91

#	Box	Type	Price	Full EV	EV Ratio	EV Spread	Pack Price	Pack EV	Pack Ratio	Break-even	Top Cards	Buy
1	Saviors Theme Deck - Critical Mass SOK	precon	$9.99	$37.92	3.80x	+$27.93	—	—	—	—	Honden of Infinite Rage$5.23 Locust Miser$4.89	Buy $9.99
2	Bloomburrow Commander Deck - Family Matters BLC	commander	$30.71	$74.85	2.44x	+$44.14	—	—	—	—	Helm of the Host$9.85 Fellwar Stone$6.75	Buy $30.71
3	Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck - Prismari Artistry SOC	commander	$34.70	$81.96	2.36x	+$47.26	—	—	—	—	Faerie Mastermind$11.18 Turbulent Springs$7.77	Buy $34.70
4	Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander Deck - Jeskai Striker TDC	commander	$31.90	$70.76	2.22x	+$38.86	—	—	—	—	Veyran, Voice of Duality$8.22 Ghostly Prison$7.69	Buy $31.90
5	Universes Beyond: Doctor Who - Paradox Power Commander Deck WHO	commander	$44.25	$97.10	2.19x	+$52.85	—	—	—	—	Quantum Misalignment$21.84 Danny Pink$13.98	Buy $44.25
6	Aetherdrift Commander Deck - Living Energy DRC	commander	$26.92	$57.65	2.14x	+$30.73	—	—	—	—	Panharmonicon$6.17 Academy Ruins$5.55	Buy $26.92
7	Secrets of Strixhaven Theme Decks [Set of 2] SOS	precon	$27.91	$59.52	2.13x	+$31.61	—	—	—	—	Enduring Innocence$4.33 Haliya, Guided by Light$2.96	Buy $27.91
8	Secrets of Strixhaven 60-Card Theme Deck - Eerie SOS	precon	$16.02	$33.93	2.12x	+$17.91	—	—	—	—	Enduring Innocence$4.33 Sheltered by Ghosts$2.02	Buy $16.02
9	Commander Legends - Arm for Battle Commander Deck CMR	commander	$52.77	$111.06	2.10x	+$58.29	—	—	—	—	Sigarda's Aid$20.22 Timely Ward$5.61	Buy $52.77
10	Portal Second Age Theme Deck - Martial Law P02	precon	$50.98	$104.81	2.06x	+$53.83	—	—	—	—	Armageddon$73.50 Angel of Fury$5.15	Buy $50.98
11	Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck - Lorehold Spirit SOC	commander	$42.28	$86.73	2.05x	+$44.45	—	—	—	—	Turbulent Steppe$8.36 Emeria, the Sky Ruin$7.34	Buy $42.28
12	The Lost Caverns of Ixalan Commander Deck - Ahoy Mateys LCC	commander	$38.54	$76.89	2.00x	+$38.35	—	—	—	—	Black Market Connections$18.17 Herald's Horn$7.34	Buy $38.54
13	Universes Beyond: Doctor Who - Blast From the Past Commander Deck WHO	commander	$41.49	$81.97	1.98x	+$40.48	—	—	—	—	Heroic Intervention$12.83 Three Visits$7.72	Buy $41.49
14	Wilds of Eldraine Commander Deck - Virtue and Valor WOC	commander	$75.92	$149.87	1.97x	+$73.95	—	—	—	—	Retether$22.40 Hall of Heliod's Generosity$10.82	Buy $75.92
15	Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander Decks [Set of 2] ECC	commander	$52.34	$101.82	1.95x	+$49.48	—	—	—	—	Springleaf Parade$7.35 Chimil, the Inner Sun$4.21	Buy $52.34
16	Zendikar Rising - Commander Deck [Set of 2] ZNC	commander	$72.23	$139.11	1.93x	+$66.88	—	—	—	—	Sygg, River Cutthroat$7.18 In Garruk's Wake$6.51	Buy $72.23
17	Streets of New Capenna Commander Deck - Obscura Operation (Minimal Packaging) NCC	commander	$58.47	$112.79	1.93x	+$54.32	—	—	—	—	Currency Converter$12.92 Strionic Resonator$9.26	Buy $58.47
18	Modern Horizons 3 Commander Deck - Graveyard Overdrive M3C	commander	$43.85	$83.20	1.90x	+$39.35	—	—	—	—	Barrowgoyf$13.49 The Reaver Cleaver$11.78	Buy $43.85
19	Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander Deck - Mardu Surge TDC	commander	$41.54	$78.28	1.88x	+$36.74	—	—	—	—	Skullclamp$6.19 Goldlust Triad$5.62	Buy $41.54
20	Modern Horizons 3 Commander Deck - Tricky Terrain M3C	commander	$56.57	$105.85	1.87x	+$49.28	—	—	—	—	Talon Gates of Madara$16.89 Yavimaya, Cradle of Growth$15.12	Buy $56.57
21	Duskmourn: House of Horror Commander Deck - Death Toll DSC	commander	$41.32	$77.34	1.87x	+$36.02	—	—	—	—	Reanimate$9.13 Whip of Erebos$7.14	Buy $41.32
22	Duskmourn: House of Horror Commander Deck - Jump Scare! DSC	commander	$44.45	$83.34	1.87x	+$38.89	—	—	—	—	Ashaya, Soul of the Wild$17.55 Giggling Skitterspike$11.69	Buy $44.45
23	Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander Deck - Abzan Armor TDC	commander	$38.82	$72.56	1.87x	+$33.74	—	—	—	—	Seedborn Muse$13.04 Staff of Compleation$4.59	Buy $38.82
24	Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck - Quandrix Unlimited SOC	commander	$43.41	$81.39	1.87x	+$37.98	—	—	—	—	Turbulent Wilderness$10.21 Three Visits$4.99	Buy $43.41
25	Starter Commander Deck - Set of 5 SCD	commander	$90.85	$168.94	1.86x	+$78.09	—	—	—	—	Lightning Greaves$4.80 Elemental Bond$3.90	Buy $90.85
26	Edge of Eternities Commander Deck - Counter Intelligence EOC	commander	$28.92	$53.74	1.86x	+$24.82	—	—	—	—	Swan Song$8.02 Great Furnace$1.99	Buy $28.92
27	Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles Commander Deck - Turtle Power! TMC	commander	$47.61	$87.94	1.85x	+$40.33	—	—	—	—	City of Brass$10.31 Undergrowth Stadium$5.63	Buy $47.61
28	Aetherdrift Commander Decks [Set of 2] DRC	commander	$65.65	$120.41	1.83x	+$54.76	—	—	—	—	Renewed Solidarity$7.34 Panharmonicon$6.17	Buy $65.65
29	Murders at Karlov Manor Commander Deck - Deep Clue Sea MKC	commander	$61.78	$112.42	1.82x	+$50.64	—	—	—	—	Bennie Bracks, Zoologist$12.15 Adrix and Nev, Twincasters$9.98	Buy $61.78
30	March of the Machine Commander Deck - Tinker Time MOC	commander	$39.38	$71.44	1.81x	+$32.06	—	—	—	—	Hedron Detonator$9.00 Academy Manufactor$7.26	Buy $39.38
31	Duskmourn: House of Horror Commander Deck - Miracle Worker DSC	commander	$56.02	$100.81	1.80x	+$44.79	—	—	—	—	Inkshield$11.68 Ondu Spiritdancer$10.81	Buy $56.02
32	Universes Beyond: Fallout - Science! Commander Deck PIP	commander	$45.95	$82.11	1.79x	+$36.16	—	—	—	—	Nuka-Cola Vending Machine$18.93 Panharmonicon$6.96	Buy $45.95
33	Magic: The Gathering Foundations - Jumpstart Booster Display J25	jumpstart	$88.77	$159.07	1.79x	+$70.30	$5.14	$6.63	1.29x	4	Rev, Tithe Extractor$27.99 Scythecat Cub$26.98	Buy $88.77
34	Lorwyn Eclipsed 60-Card Theme Deck - Pirates ECL	precon	$13.17	$23.49	1.78x	+$10.32	—	—	—	—	Inti, Seneschal of the Sun$2.59 Marauding Mako$0.57	Buy $13.17
35	Outlaws of Thunder Junction - Play Booster Display OTJ	play	$145.16	$257.40	1.77x	+$112.24	$4.94	$7.15	1.45x	2	Scapeshift$61.92 Mana Drain$48.66	Buy $145.16
36	Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander Deck - Dance of the Elements ECC	commander	$31.63	$54.90	1.74x	+$23.27	—	—	—	—	Springleaf Parade$7.35 Abundant Countryside$3.55	Buy $31.63
37	The Lost Caverns of Ixalan Commander Deck - Blood Rites LCC	commander	$69.12	$118.85	1.72x	+$49.73	—	—	—	—	Exquisite Blood$35.30 Charismatic Conqueror$19.13	Buy $69.12
38	Murders at Karlov Manor Commander Deck - Blame Game MKC	commander	$82.18	$141.28	1.72x	+$59.10	—	—	—	—	Trouble in Pairs$30.81 Smuggler's Share$8.80	Buy $82.18
39	Universes Beyond: Doctor Who - Masters of Evil Commander Deck WHO	commander	$81.17	$139.08	1.71x	+$57.91	—	—	—	—	Cybermen Squadron$14.13 Auton Soldier$10.89	Buy $81.17
40	Modern Horizons 3 Commander Deck - Creative Energy M3C	commander	$40.23	$68.96	1.71x	+$28.73	—	—	—	—	Akroma's Will$14.55 Goldspan Dragon$8.60	Buy $40.23

Best MTG Packs to Crack - EV Rankings

Which MTG packs are worth cracking?

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