Best Packs to Crack
EV and risk metrics across every sealed pack. Ratio above 1.0x means you're expected to profit.
Pack EV rankings show the expected value of cracking a single booster pack across every MTG product. Each pack's EV is calculated from the full box EV divided by the number of packs, then compared against the loose pack market price to produce a pack EV ratio.
A ratio above 1.0x means you're expected to pull more value than you paid. Use the risk metrics, break-even percentages, and edge scores to compare packs at your LGS. For full box-level analysis, switch to the box EV rankings.
Sellable EV values sub-$1 cards at bulk rate (~$0.005) since they can't be sold individually. Full EV values every card at market price.
Profitable 4/5
Best Ratio 1.20x
Best Spread +$0.98
| # | Pack | Type | Pack Price | Pack EV | Pack EV Ratio | Spread | Top Cards | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Murders at Karlov Manor Play Booster MKM | play | $3.79 | $4.55 | 1.20x | +$0.76 | Anzrag, the Quake-Mole$42.00+2 Anzrag, the Quake-Mole$42.00 Evelyn, the Covetous$28.50 Niv-Mizzet, Guildpact$19.75 | Simulate |
| 2 | Modern Horizons 3 Play Booster MH3 | play | $7.99 | $8.97 | 1.12x | +$0.98 | Tamiyo, Inquisitive Student$45.00+2 Tamiyo, Inquisitive Student$45.00 Flare of Cultivation$28.00 Nulldrifter$19.00 | Simulate |
| 3 | Bloomburrow Play Booster BLB | play | $4.59 | $4.92 | 1.07x | +$0.33 | Mabel, Heir to Cragflame$38.00+2 Mabel, Heir to Cragflame$38.00 Glarb, Calamity's Augur$22.50 Ygra, Eater of All$17.00 | Simulate |
| 4 | Outlaws of Thunder Junction Play Booster OTJ | play | $4.19 | $4.33 | 1.04x | +$0.14 | Oko, the Ringleader$24.00+2 Oko, the Ringleader$24.00 Vraska, the Silencer$18.00 Slick Sequence$12.00 | Simulate |
| 5 | Duskmourn: House of Horror Play Booster DSK | play | $4.39 | $3.54 | 0.81x | -$0.85 | Overlord of the Hauntwoods$20.00+2 Overlord of the Hauntwoods$20.00 Enduring Innocence$15.50 Pyrexian Remnants$11.00 | Simulate |